Moyes : An Evolving Success Or Dining Out On Covid?

18 Feb, 2024
written by AD Hammer

 

Moyes : An Evolving Success Or Dining Out On Covid?

 

Another defeat this week, to Forest, has added more pressure on Moyes, and more pressure on the board to take action. We’ve undoubtedly all heard the chants of ‘you’re getting sacked in the morning’ at the end of the game, and seen the banners for Moyes out. It seems we are back where we were against Fulham last year, with the away fans turning on the manager. It’s a long way back when they turn.

Many of us have reluctantly accepted that Moyes is statistically our best manager in the top flight, as evidenced by Nigel’s fantastic seven-part series on 6foot2 recently, but we still want him to go, so it’s understandable that the media outsiders view us as ungrateful. However, I have always felt that Moyes’ successful period ended when Covid did and its taken until now for me to actually look at it in detail.

Why is that relevant? Because the entire world was a different place during the pandemic period, everybody was living in a degree of fear, with different expectations and hopes. Unprecedented was the word of the time because nobody had ever experienced anything like it and that included football, which was postponed completely for over three months and played without fans for over a season.

Covid became widespread in the UK from February 2020 and the 19/20 season was halted on March 9th, eventually restarting on June 17th. The virus continued to have a major impact on our lives and football through to the end of 2021, when we had the final lockdown at Christmas. In fact, football continued to be impacted into January and February 2022, as games were still being cancelled due to the illness.

So, the below gives a breakdown of Moyes’ time with us during each season, with some seasons split due to Covid. The Covid period being 9th March 2020 to 31st December 2021.

The points per season is taking the points per game and then multiplying them out to 38 games, for comparison purposes. What we can see from the above is the win percentage and points per season comparison are way lower in the non-covid periods. That is based over both spells with the club and also periods before and after Covid.

The below table gives us Moyes full EPL records in and out of Covid.

I’ll leave you to decide the relevance, and to take from that what you will. However, the 19 point difference in average points per season, and what that would convert to in a 38 game league position, is substantial and perhaps tells us a story.

So, has Moyes been an evolving success or is he just dining out on Covid?

 

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